Seasonal Spread with Natural Gas Futures: (Nov. 15 - Jan. 16) 2

Since I talked about this futures spread with Natural Gas futures, it has moved within a range. The spread has spent almost two months fighting against the strong resistance.

But now, we have reached bearish seasonality area (marked with red arrow) and the spread might follow the path:

Take a look at related post of this Natural Gas spread:

Seasonal Spread, Natural Gas Nov 15 - Jan 16

Natural Gas futures are really wild, but you can trade them using spreads and their behavior are smoother and somehow, predictable.

Seasonal Chart: Scarr Visual Trading

Heating Oil futures Spread: HO Z6H6 (December-March)

In this occasion, I have selected this Heating Oil spread: HO Z5H6 (Dec 15 - Mar 16).

It will approach a strong bearish seasonal trend in a few days (red arrow):

A good entry point for this energy futures spread should be if the spread looses the green support area.

You might be interested in more Heating Oil spreads:

Spread Heating Oil KM5

Heating Oil futures spread, HO QV5. Double Top?

Lean Hogs Futures Butterfly HE JKM6

This futures butterfly was commented on July, 21. It has not reached the ideal entry zone. But the futures butterfly is following precisely its seasonal path:

The seasonal chart includes data from the butterfly´s last seven years.

You may be interested in last related post: Lean Hogs Butterfly HE JKM6

Different point of view: Seasonal Spread, Natural Gas Nov 15 - Jan 16

Let´s think about this spread with Natural Gas from a different perspective:

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Seasonal Spread, Natural Gas Nov 15 - Jan 16

This spread with Natural Gas futures is close to a bearish seasonal trend:

I would wait for a downside breakout in the actual spread range in order to take advantage of the bearish seasonality.

Last year, I traded a similar spread (NG VZ): Natural Gas VZ4

Bearish trend worked nicely: Natural Gas VZ4 (5)

Spread Feeder Cattle X5F6, Trade 2 (b)

This is the updated chart in Spread Feeder Cattle X5F6:

This was the idea 7 days ago:

Here is the post with multi-year spread chart: Spread Feeder Cattle X5F6, Trade 2

Spread Feeder Cattle X5F6, Trade 2

This Feeder Cattle spread is still moving in a very high level compared with other years:

It has arrived to the resistance level with very low volume. The futures spread is losing strength in the upward movement:

Lean Hogs Butterfly HE JKM6

If we take a look at last 10 years of butterfly HE JKM, we get this stacked chart:

Now, let´s take 2015 butterfly away, and the chart looks like this:

The Butterfly´s Seasonal chart (including 2015) has a nice bearish trend:

I have marked my sell area in the grey rectangle.

Charts: Scarr Visual Trading. 10% discount coupon: 912CA5B4AB 

Calendar Spread with Feeder Cattle futures: X5F6 (9)

Volume did not lie, again:

The feeders spread broke up the range, bounced towards the old resistance, and took off.